Suchen und Finden
Preface
5
Contents
9
Contributing Authors
13
Consequences of Demographic Change in Germany: An Introduction
15
1 Motivation for this Book
15
2 The Contributions: An Overview
17
Demographic Change in Germany
22
1 Addressing the Issue
22
2 The Demographic Development in Germany
23
3 Future Trends Until 2050
30
4 Regional Aspects of Population Dynamics
35
5 Implications for Society, Economy, and Policy Makers: Challenge or Catastrophe?
43
References
45
The Effects of Aging on Labor Markets and Economic Growth
47
1 Introduction
47
2 Main Determinants of Economic Growth
48
3 Future Demographics and Growth
52
4 Long-Term Growth Scenarios
62
5 Conclusions
73
References
75
The Impact of Global Aging on Capital Markets and Housing
76
1 Introduction
76
2 The Asset Meltdown Debate
77
3 Aging and the Markets for Productive Capital
80
4 Aging and Housing Markets
91
5 Summary and Outlook
96
References
98
Social Insurance: How to Pay for Pensions and Health Care?
100
1 Introduction
100
2 Methodology
102
3 Assumptions and Intermediate Results
105
4 Projections for Individual Branches of Social Insurance
108
5 Sustainability of the Social Insurance System
123
6 Policy Options
133
References
136
The Impact of Demographic Change on Fiscal Policy in Germany
140
1 Introduction
140
2 Institutional Framework
141
3 Methodology
148
4 Data and Empirical Results
156
5 Summary and Conclusions
172
References
173
Education and Fertility in Germany
175
1 Introduction
175
2 Education and Fertility
176
3 Data
181
4 Descriptive Results
182
5 Analysis of the Event-History Model
186
6 Conclusions
190
References
193
Perspectives on the Political Governance of Demographic Change
198
1 Introduction
198
2 Demographic Challenges in Germany
199
3 Challenges for Governance of Demographic Change
204
4 Budget Consolidation as a Core Challenge
205
5 Key Factors of Success for Good Governance of Demographic Change
208
6 Conclusion
210
Subject Index
213
Name Index
220
Alle Preise verstehen sich inklusive der gesetzlichen MwSt.