The Polish Climate in the European Context: An Historical Overview

von: Rajmund Przybylak, Jacek Majorowicz, Rudolf Brázdil, Marek Kejan

Springer-Verlag, 2009

ISBN: 9789048131679 , 535 Seiten

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The Polish Climate in the European Context: An Historical Overview


 

Przybylak_Frontmatter

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Przybylak_Ch01

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Chapter 1

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Climate Change in Poland in the Past Centuries and its Relationship to European Climate: Evidence from Reconstructions and Coup

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1.1 Introduction

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1.2 Data

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1.2.1 Instrumental and Reconstructed Data

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1.2.1.1 North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)

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1.2.1.2 East Atlantic/Western Russia Pattern (EA/WRUS)

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1.2.1.3 Scandinavian Pattern (SCAND)

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1.2.2 Model Data

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1.2.2.1 ECHO-G Temperature and Precipitation Data

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1.2.2.2 HadCM3 Temperature and Precipitation Data

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1.3 Methods

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1.3.1 Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA)

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1.4 Results and Discussions

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1.4.1 Comparing Winter Temperature and Precipitation Over Poland and European Land Areas in Reconstructions and in the Model

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1.4.2 Spatial Correlation Analysis Between Polish Winter Precipitation and Temperature with Teleconnection Indices

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1.4.3 CCA Between Winter Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation and Winter Climate Variability in Poland Back to 1750 Using Reco

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1.4.3.1 CCA SLP-Polish Winter Temperature

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1.4.3.2 CCA SLP-Polish Winter Precipitation

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1.5 Discussions and Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch02

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Chapter 2

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Historical Climate in Central Europe During the Last 500 Years

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2.1 Introduction

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2.2 Instrumental and Proxy Climatological Data

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2.3 Methods of Climate Reconstruction

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2.4 Temperature and Precipitation Series Based on Documentary Evidence in Central Europe for the Last 500 Years

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2.5 Temperature and Precipitation in Central Europe Since AD 1500 – Discussion

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2.5.1 Air Temperature

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2.5.2 Precipitation

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2.5.3 Caveats for Temperature/Precipitation Reconstruction

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2.5.3.1 Deriving Index Series

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2.5.3.2 Reconstruction Methods

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2.5.3.3 High- and Low-Frequency Signals

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2.6 Perspectives on Further Research in Central Europe

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References

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Przybylak_Ch03

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Chapter 3

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Climatic Variations in the East European Plain During the Last Millennium: State of the Art

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3.1 Introduction: Climate of the East European Plain

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3.2 Materials and Methods

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3.3 Instrumental Data

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3.3.1 Mean Annual Temperature

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3.3.2 Annual Precipitation

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3.4 Historical Data

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3.4.1 Documentary Evidence of Climate Changes in the East European Plain

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3.4.2 Quantitative Estimate of Climate Changes in the East European Plain Using Historical Data

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3.5 Tree-Ring Data

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3.5.1 Summer Temperature Reconstructions

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3.5.2 Precipitation and Runoff Reconstructions

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3.6 Borehole Temperatures

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3.7 Palynological Data

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3.8 Hydrological Data

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3.9 Multi-proxy Reconstruction

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3.10 Discussion

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3.11 Concluding Remarks

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References

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Przybylak_Ch04

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Chapter 4

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The Climate of Europe in Recent Centuries in the Context of the Climate of Mid to High Latitude Northern Hemisphere from Boreh

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4.1 Introduction

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4.2 Method

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4.2.1 Ramp Model

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4.2.2 Inversion Methods

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4.2.3 Comparison with Temperature Variations from GCM

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4.3 Variability of GST Warming

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4.4 Polish and European Recent GST Warming

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References

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Chapter 5

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Instrumental Observations

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5.1 History of Early-Instrumental Observations

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5.2 History of Some Long-Term Continuous Meteorological Series

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5.2.1 Air Temperature

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5.2.2 Atmospheric Precipitation

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5.2.3 Atmospheric Pressure

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5.2.4 Other Meteorological Variables

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5.3 Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period

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5.3.1 Air Temperature

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5.3.2 Atmospheric Precipitation

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5.3.3 Other Variables

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5.4 Conclusions

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References

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Chapter 6

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Documentary Evidence

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6.1 Introduction

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6.2 Documentary Sources – Kinds and Quality

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6.2.1 The Middle Ages

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6.2.2 The Sixteenth Century

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6.2.3 The Seventeenth Century

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6.2.4 The Eighteenth Century

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6.2.5 A Concise Typology of Sources for the Period from the Sixteenth to Eighteenth Centuries

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6.2.6 Territorial Distribution of Records

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6.2.7 Chronological Distribution of Records

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6.3 History of Poland’s Climate in the Last Millennium

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6.3.1 Air Temperature

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6.3.2 Precipitation

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6.4 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch07

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Chapter 7

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Dendrochronological Data

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7.1 Introduction

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7.2 Material and Methods

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7.2.1 Sampling

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7.2.2 Material

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7.2.3 Methods

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7.2.3.1 Measurement and Basic Statistical Methods

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7.2.3.2 Signature Years

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7.2.3.3 Reconstruction

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7.2.3.4 Others

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7.3 Results and Discussion

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7.4 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch08

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Chapter 8

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Geophysical Data

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8.1 Introduction

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8.2 Review of GST Reconstruction in Poland Using Geothermal Data

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8.3 GST History from Joint Inversion

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8.4 Concluding Remarks

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References

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Przybylak_Ch09

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Chapter 9

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Concluding Remarks to Part II

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References

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Przybylak_Ch10

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Chapter 10

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Long-Term Changes of Bioclimatic Conditions in Cracow (Poland)

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10.1 Introduction

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10.2 Materials and Methods

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10.3 Bioclimatic Indices Used

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10.4 Results

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10.4.1 Reconstruction of Bioclimatic Conditions for the Years 1826–1900

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10.4.2 Fluctuations of Bioclimatic Conditions

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10.5 Discussion

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10.6 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch11

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Chapter 11

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Climate Warming in the Czech Republic: Evidence Stored in Shallow Subsurface

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11.1 Introduction

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11.2 Rationale

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11.3 Subsurface Temperature Monitoring

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11.4 Monitoring Temperatures

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11.5 Surface and Near Surface Effects

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11.5.1 Snow Cover and Ground Freezing

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11.5.2 Rain Precipitation

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11.6 Meteorological Data and Regional Warming Pattern

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11.7 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch12

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Chapter 12

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History of the Gdansk Pre-Instrumental and Instrumental Record of Meteorological Observations and Analysis of Selected Air Pr

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12.1 Introduction

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12.2 We Have Known About This for Years

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12.3 That Was the Beginning According to New Findings

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12.4 The Gdansk Air Pressure Series – Evaluation of Metadata

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12.4.1 Reinick Series

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12.4.2 Kleefeld Series

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12.4.3 Neufahrwasser Series

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12.5 Reduction of the Pressure

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12.6 Selected Statistical Analyses of the Pressure Series

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12.7 Summary

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References

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Przybylak_Ch13

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Chapter 13

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A Composite Reconstruction of the Russian Arctic Climate Back to A.D. 1435

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References

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Przybylak_Ch14

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Chapter 14

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Growth/Climate Relationships in Tree-Ring Widths of Picea Abies in Lithuania and Poland

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14.1 Introduction

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14.1.1 Aim of Study

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14.1.2 Climate of Study Area

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14.2 Material and Methods

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14.2.1 Tree Sites and Sampling Method

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14.2.2 Local Chronologies

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14.2.3 Regionalisation

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14.2.4 Dendroclimatological Analysis

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14.3 Results and Discussion

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14.3.1 Dendroclimatological Regionalisation

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14.3.2 Growth/Climate Relationships

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14.4 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch15

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Chapter 15

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Multi-Annual Variability of Cloudiness and Sunshine Duration in Cracow Between 1826 and 2005

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15.1 Introduction

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15.2 Cloudiness

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15.3 Clear and Overcast Days

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15.4 Sunshine Duration

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15.5 Results and Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch16

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Chapter 16

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Changes in Sea Surface Temperature of the South Baltic Sea (1854–2005)

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16.1 Stating the Problem

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16.2 Data

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16.3 The Course of Mean Annual Value of SST of the Baltic Sea

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16.4 Correlation Between Sea Surface Temperatures with NAO

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16.5 Correlations of SST with the Frequency of Occurrence of Synoptic Situations of a Certain Type

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16.6 Relations of Air Temperature Over Coastal Areas with SST

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16.7 The Problem of Climatic Signal in Series of Values of Mean Annual SST of the Baltic Sea

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References

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Przybylak_Ch17

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Chapter 17

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Ground Surface Temperature Histories Reconstructed from Boreholes in Poland: Implications for Spatial Variability

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17.1 Introduction

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17.2 Inverse Method

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17.2.1 Forward Model

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17.2.2 Inverse Technique

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17.2.3 Regularizing Operators

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17.2.4 Data Preparation

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17.3 Results and Discussion

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17.4 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch18

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Chapter 18

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Precipitation Extremes and Disastrous Floods in Central Europe in July 1897

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18.1 Introduction

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18.2 Precipitation Extremes

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18.3 Floods and Their Impacts

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18.4 Conclusion

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References

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Przybylak_Ch19

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Chapter 19

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Summer Temperatures in the Tatra Mountains During the Maunder Minimum (1645–1715)

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19.1 Introduction

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19.2 Summer Temperatures During the Maunder Minimum and During the Adjacent Periods

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19.2.1 Relatively Cool Period Preceding the Maunder Minimum (1576–1675)

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19.2.2 The First Phase of the Maunder Minimum (1645–1675)

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19.3 The Late Maunder Minimum (1676–1715)

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19.3.1 The Warm Phase of the Late Maunder Minimum (1676–1688)

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19.3.2 The Cool Phase of the Late Maunder Minimum (1689–1699)

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19.3.3 The Last Phase of the Late Maunder Minimum (1700–1715)

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19.4 The Periods After the Maunder Minimum (1716–1820)

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19.5 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch20

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Chapter 20

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Seasonal Differentiation of Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature in Cracow and Prague in the Period 1836–2007

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20.1 Introduction

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20.2 Data and Methods

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20.3 The Tendencies of Change of Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature

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20.4 The Tendencies of Change of the Number of Hot Days (Tmax > 25°C) and Very Hot Days (Tmax > 30°C)

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20.5 Tendencies of Change of Frosty Days (Tmax < 0°C) and Days with Severe Frost (Tmax < 10°C)

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20.6 Discussion and Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch21

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Chapter 21

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Climate Changes in the Central and North-Eastern Parts of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth from 1656 to 1685

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21.1 Introduction

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21.2 Area of Investigations

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21.3 Data and Methods

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21.3.1 Historical Period

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21.3.2 Correction Procedure

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21.3.2.1 Procedure for Temperature Corrections for the Period 1668–1685

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Annual Data

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Monthly Data

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21.3.2.2 Procedure for the correction of number of days with precipitation for the periods 1656–1657 and 1668–1685

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Monthly and Annual Data

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21.3.3 The Contemporary Period

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21.4 Results and Discussion

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21.4.1 Air Temperature

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21.4.2 Atmospheric Precipitation

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21.5 Summary and Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch22

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Chapter 22

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The Climate of Polish Lands as Viewed by Chroniclers, Writers and Scientists

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22.1 Introduction

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22.2 Weather Accounts in Chronicles

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22.3 Examples of Weather Descriptions in Historical Novels and Romances

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22.4 The Weather Observation Series in the Period of Non-Instrumental Observations

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22.5 The Weather Observation Series in the Instrumental Period

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22.6 The Importance of Systematic Weather Reporting for Science, as Exemplified by the Galician Network of Meteorological S

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22.7 Conclusions

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References

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Chapter 23

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Observations and Measurements of Precipitation in the Polish Province of Galicia in the Nineteenth Century

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23.1 Introduction

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23.2 Observations and Measurements of Precipitation Until the Mid Nineteenth Century

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23.3 Observations of Precipitation in the Second Half of the Nineteenth Century

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23.3.1 Instrumental Observations in Cracow

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23.3.2 Organisation of a Network of Weather Stations and Precipitation Posts

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23.4 Nineteenth Century Pluvial Conditions in the Light of Observations and Measurements from Cracow

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23.5 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch24

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Chapter 24

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Variability of the European Climate on the Basis of Differentiation of Indicators of Continentalism

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24.1 Introduction

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24.2 Material and Methods

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24.3 Thermal Continentality

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24.4 Pluvial Continentality

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24.5 Climate Continentalism in Relation to Atmospheric Circulation Patterns

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24.6 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Ch25

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Chapter 25

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The First One Hundred Years (1791–1890) of the Wroc aw Air Temperature Series

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25.1 Introduction

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25.2 The Beginnings of the Wroc aw Air Temperature Series

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25.3 The Correction of the Influence of Location Changes on Air Temperature Measurements in Wroc aw in the Nineteenth Centu

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25.4 Other Corrections of the Wroc aw Air Temperature Series

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25.5 Discussion of Results

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25.6 Temperature Measurements in Other Silesian Stations

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25.7 Conclusions

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References

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Przybylak_Backmatter

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Chapter 5

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Instrumental Observations

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5.1 History of Early-Instrumental Observations

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5.2 History of Some Long-Term Continuous Meteorological Series

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5.2.1 Air Temperature

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5.2.2 Atmospheric Precipitation

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5.2.3 Atmospheric Pressure

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5.2.4 Other Meteorological Variables

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5.3 Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period

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5.3.1 Air Temperature

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5.3.2 Atmospheric Precipitation

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5.3.3 Other Variables

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5.4 Conclusions

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References

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Chapter 6

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Documentary Evidence

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6.1 Introduction

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6.2 Documentary Sources – Kinds and Quality

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6.2.1 The Middle Ages

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6.2.2 The Sixteenth Century

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6.2.3 The Seventeenth Century

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6.2.4 The Eighteenth Century

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6.2.5 A Concise Typology of Sources for the Period from the Sixteenth to Eighteenth Centuries

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6.2.6 Territorial Distribution of Records

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6.2.7 Chronological Distribution of Records

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6.3 History of Poland’s Climate in the Last Millennium

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6.3.1 Air Temperature

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6.3.2 Precipitation

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6.4 Conclusions

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References

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Chapter 23

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Observations and Measurements of Precipitation in the Polish Province of Galicia in the Nineteenth Century

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23.1 Introduction

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23.2 Observations and Measurements of Precipitation Until the Mid Nineteenth Century

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23.3 Observations of Precipitation in the Second Half of the Nineteenth Century

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23.3.1 Instrumental Observations in Cracow

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23.3.2 Organisation of a Network of Weather Stations and Precipitation Posts

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23.4 Nineteenth Century Pluvial Conditions in the Light of Observations and Measurements from Cracow

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23.5 Conclusions

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References

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